Stock markets recover as oil retreats

AFP | London

Email: mail@newsofbahrain.com

The main international oil contract Brent North Sea fell back under $100 yesterday after surging past the key milestone the previous day on escalating Middle East strikes, helping US and European stock markets stabilise.

Brent fell 5% to under $96 a barrel, having soared 7% Thursday. The key US contract, West Texas Intermediate, declined more than 4% after having gained more than 6% on Thursday.

The sizeable jumps had come after Yemen’s Houthi rebels struck oil tankers in the Red Sea, potentially opening a new front in the Middle East war.

On Wall Street, both the Dow and S&P 500 rose, while the Nasdaq Composite was flat as tech stocks continued to struggle.

“This is not a robust response given the scope of yesterday's losses, but it is something to build on for a market that had its foundation shaken yesterday,” said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare, referring to when the Nasdaq fell more than 2% as tech stocks took a beating while the Dow and S&P 500 both lost 1%.

With tech stocks not as predominant in Europe, that region’s main stock markets advanced.

Asian stock markets followed the sell-off Thursday on Wall Street as world markets were battered by a perfect storm of the resurgent Middle East war, the spike in oil prices and concerns about the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.

While traders in the past have been able to offset the bad news in one area by focusing on the positives elsewhere, analysts said they were now struggling to fire-fight on three fronts: high oil prices, high government borrowing costs and jitters over tech company valuations. Tech firms were once again bearing the brunt of the selling owing to growing concerns about the colossal sums ploughed into AI hardware, factories and research, with many now questioning when they will see returns.

The latest blows came Thursday as Google parent Alphabet and Tesla came under scrutiny for massive capital spending drives.

Alphabet shares dived almost seven% and Tesla plunged more than 14%.

Alphabet shares regained 0.6% but shares in Tesla fell another 3%.

Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon had already flagged that they would fork out more than $700 billion this year on AI ambitions, and are due to report next week.

Meanwhile, government bond yields jumped with the yield on 10-year US Treasuries hitting an 18-month high, and expectations of interest rate hikes have risen.

David Morrison at Trade Nation said expectations that the US Federal Reserve could hike interest rates at its meeting next week have risen from 13% last week to 30% currently.

“Perhaps more seriously, the CME's FedWatch Tool shows a 90% probability of at least one 25-basis point rate hike before year-end,” he said.