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Trump promises ‘wild’ campaign rally

President Donald Trump promised a “wild” 2020 campaign launch rally in Florida yesterday, even if dismal early poll numbers show he faces a difficult reelection. Organizers claim the Orlando rally has sold out a 20,000- seat arena, with many more to gather outside, watching on big screens.

Trump portrayed the scale of the event as only one step below a rock concert. “Look what is going on in Orlando, Florida, right now! People have never seen anything like it (unless you play a guitar). Going to be wild - See you later!” he tweeted. Trump then returned to his almost daily claim that the media fails to reflect what he considers his achievements and popularity. “The Fake News doesn’t report it, but Republican enthusiasm is at an all time high,” he tweeted.

After more than two drama-filled years at the White House, the fast-talking real estate salesman bets that a strong economy and his promise to fight for forgotten blue collar workers will persuade the country to give him a second term in 2020. But more than 20 Democrats are lining up to take him on and there’s no question that a lengthy probe into Trump’s dealings with Russia and his divisive, bruising style have wounded the unconventional president.

A wide range of polls show Trump lagging far behind Democratic frontrunner Joe Biden, who is campaigning on a promise to return the country to what he portrays as the calmer, gentler days of Barack Obama, under whom he served as vice president. And it’s not only Biden who is ahead. Even Pete Buttigieg, the gay, small-city mayor emerging as one of the surprise stars of the Democratic field, narrowly leads Trump, according to a poll from Fox News released this weekend.

Polls so far in advance have limited value and in 2016 they famously failed to predict Trump’s defeat of Democrat Hillary Clinton. But in a sign of frayed nerves, Trump is lashing out at what he calls “fake” polling, while multiple US media reports say that his campaign has fired several of its own pollsters.

Back to basics

Democrats are fired up, with the party’s most active wing veering left and a vocal minority pushing for Trump’s impeachment. So if Trump is going to win, he’ll need everyone from his own fervent base on the right to turn out, setting the stage for a sharply polarized election. The Orlando speech will see him aim directly at that demographic in a state likely to be crucial to either candidate in amassing the necessary electoral college votes for victory.

Expect Trump, the self-promoting hero of his ghost-written book “The Art of the Deal,” to claim the US economy is richer, the military stronger, and the country more respected than ever in its history. And expect ultra-loyal, core Republican supporters in red “Make America Great Again” baseball caps to chant “USA!” These are the voters who steered Trump to improbable victory in 2016, when he faced the polished and experienced Clinton.